Waaaay back in June, I sat down and made some predictions in an article called Sleepers & Busters: 2007 Edition. One of my favorite comments I received on this article was glaringly posted on the front page of my site. It simply read: “I disagree with just about everything in this article. Pull your head out of your ass”. Awesome.
Now that we’re smack in the middle of the season, we can get a pretty good early idea how I did. The whole point of the article was to see what players were being overvalued and undervalued. So, I will gauge correct/incorrect on fantasy points accumulated in a standard scoring league. Now, let’s take a look and see if I can stop sniffing my prostate yet.
Quarterbacks
Sleeper: Phillip Rivers – SD – His average ranking amongst 11 different sources at the time of the article was 12.45. He’s currently got the 13th highest point totals amongst all QBs. That’s pretty damn close to accurate.
Result: Push
Buster: Vince Young – TEN – At the time of publication, Michael Vick’s and Daunte Culpepper’s love child was ranked at 8.64. Right now, he’s ranked at #29. Oooo…that’s not good!
Result: PASS!
Bold Prediction: Alex Smith – SF – The prediction was that he’d be a Top 10 QB by season’s end. We’re not there yet, but PHEW! Something tells me I was WAAAAAY off on that one.
Result: FAIL!
Running Backs
Jerrious Norwood – ATL – Well, he’s making a big time play right now, but early on he was a ghost. His average ranking was 37.36, his current ranking is #34. That’s not way off, but the way that he’s playing now and the way he’s stealing Dunn’s carries warrants a…
Result: PASS!
Travis Henry – DEN – He started off strong, and I admit I was scared that I was way off in my farting on Henry’s head. His average ranking was 13.09, right now he’s looking at #22. With upcoming trials and drug tests and current injuries, I hope you listened early on.
Result: PASS!
Bold Prediction: Larry Johnson – KC – The prediction was that he’d be the highest point scorer in the league. Well that was before the contract hold out and before Tom Brady joined the Superfriends. Right now Mr. Johnson sits way down at #51 overall. Booooo…
Result: FAIL!
Wide Receivers
Sleeper: Drew Bennett – STL – Barf. This was probably my worst pick. His average ranking was 46.91, his current ranking is #78 and falling fast with a repellent offense and little to no prospects. Barf…
Result: FAIL!
Buster: Larry Fitzgerald – ARI – Arizona has seen some interesting ideas and interesting obstacles come their way this season. Lar-Bear had an average ranking of 7.27 back in June, now he is ranked #20. For receivers, that’s not way off, but for me it’s still a victory.
Result: PASS!
Bold Prediction: Marques Colston – NO – Kind of an arbitrary prediction saying he would “hit the sophomore slump this season”, but I think, arbitrary or not, I’m pretty right considering he fell from an average ranking of 12.00 to a current ranking of #22 (plus, give credit where it’s due he scored 22.5 of his 62.8 total points last week against the 49ers. That’s 36% of his total points!)
Result: PASS!
Tight Ends
Sleeper: Benjamin Watson – NE – He injured himself last week, but still up to this point he’s gone from an average ranking of 9.36 to a current ranking of #8. I have to think Mike Vrabel and Kyle Brady are eating TDs that would’ve gone Watson’s way, as well.
Result: PASS!
Buster: Jeremy Shockey – NYG – With Plaxico having such a great season, Shockey’s fallen to the wayside. He started with an average ranking of 4.73 and has fallen to #9.
Result: PASS!
Bold Prediction: Alge Crumpler – ATL – “Alge Crumpler will barely be a Top 10 TE by season’s end” Let’s ignore the verbiage here and get to the point of the statement: he will suck this season. There, that’s better. He fell from an average ranking of 5.00 to #18. So, not only is he out of the Top 10, he sucks pretty bad.
Result: PASS!
Kickers
Sleeper: Rian Lindell – BUF – Well, what can I say? The Bills suck and it’s reflecting on Lindell…and I was wrong. Okay, you happy? His average ranking was 18.33, he’s now ranked at #28. Ouch. Not only was I wrong, he’s barely not the worst kicker to own in the league. Yuck.
Result: FAIL!
Buster: Robbie Gould – CHI – He came in with an average ranking of 4.11, ranked as high as #1 among all kickers. Now he stands at #12. Take that, Rian Lindell!
Result: PASS!
Bold Prediction: Mike Vanderjagt – HUH? – I said that he would return to the league and become a Top 10 kicker. That was some GOOOOOOD crack!
Result: FAIL!
Defenses
Sleeper: Green Bay Packers – Way back in June, the experts had them ranked at 12.00. Those crazy experts! Now they’re ranked at number…oh, wait….#12. Okay, there you go.
Result: Push.
Buster: Miami Dolphins – Can you believe this group of pixies had an average ranking of 6.70 back in June? Wow, huh? You know, because now they are the official worst defense you could own at #32.
Result: PASS!
Bold Prediction: San Diego Chargers – Secretly this was the reason I wanted to go over my predictions at the midway point. Wait…now it’s not a secret. Damn. I said “The San Diego Chargers will become the #1 defense this season.” Guess what? Edging out the Patriots defense by one point, the San Diego Chargers have the most valuable defense in the league!
Result: PASS!
Alright, Rod Roddy, what’s the overall score thus far?
11 – 5 – 2 (69% correct)
Hmmm...I got nothin'...
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